'Wouldn't be shocked' if bull market continues: Wall Street aims to look past Iran conflict
Wall Street remains optimistic despite geopolitical tensions.
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The day in brief
Despite recent volatility due to the Iran conflict, Wall Street strategists are optimistic that the bull market may continue. The S&P 500 has seen a slight decline of about 4% since the onset of the conflict, yet analysts believe that positive developments could drive the market higher, as evidenced by a recent 2.9% rebound following President Trump's indication of reducing military presence in the region.
SpaceX is reportedly preparing for an initial public offering aiming to raise $75 billion, with a projected valuation of $1.75 trillion. CEO Elon Musk envisions orbital data centers as a key component of the company's future, potentially circumventing growing opposition to traditional data centers on Earth. This trend is gaining traction, with other companies, including a newly funded startup, Starcloud, also exploring similar opportunities in space.
Despite concerns over a potential business exodus due to Mayor Zohran Mamdani's tax policies, Manhattan's office real estate market is showing strength, with increased leasing activity and rising rents. In the first quarter of 2026, office leasing reached 8.5 million square feet, while vacancy rates fell to 13.5%, driven largely by a surge in demand from AI companies.
Allison Johnson tested Gemini, the AI feature in Google Maps, to plan a day in Seattle, resulting in a surprisingly successful itinerary that included new dining and shopping experiences. While Gemini provided useful recommendations, it did encounter a significant navigational error, highlighting the importance of user-generated reviews in the planning process.
Jeff Bezos's vision for a voice computer drove Amazon's development of the Echo speaker and Alexa voice assistant, despite numerous challenges faced by the team. Their eventual success in launching the Echo without any fanfare led to a transformative shift in how millions interact with technology, raising questions about its impact on the AI landscape.
A study by Google Research and the Rochester Institute of Technology reveals that traditional AI benchmarks, which typically rely on three to five human evaluators per test example, fail to capture the full diversity of human opinion. The research indicates that at least ten raters are necessary to produce reliable results, emphasizing the importance of how annotation budgets are allocated between the number of test examples and the number of raters. This finding challenges existing practices in AI evaluations, suggesting that a more nuanced approach is needed to accurately assess model performance.
Alibaba's Qwen team has introduced a groundbreaking training algorithm called Future-KL Influenced Policy Optimization (FIPO), which enhances AI reasoning by assigning variable weights to tokens based on their influence on subsequent reasoning steps. This innovative approach has resulted in a significant increase in reasoning chain lengths and accuracy, with models achieving over 10,000 tokens in reasoning chains and improving accuracy on the AIME 2024 benchmark from 50% to 58%. The team plans to release the training system as open source, although the algorithm has only been validated on mathematical tasks so far.
Samsung has confirmed that its Messages app will be discontinued in July 2026, with Google Messages set to take its place. This transition will primarily affect users on Android 12 and newer, who will receive guidance on how to switch to Google Messages, which will become their default SMS app. The discontinuation also extends to Tizen OS watches, limiting message history access.
Apple, now celebrating its 50th anniversary, has transformed from a garage startup to a $3.8 trillion giant. Investors who bought in at its IPO in December 1980 for $22 per share would have seen their $2,000 investment grow to over $5.18 million today, thanks to five stock splits that reduced the effective share price to just $0.10.
Jim Cramer has expressed confidence in Apple Inc.'s new CFO, Kevan Parekh, suggesting he is effectively settling into his role. Cramer noted that while Apple’s stock has seen a significant rise of over 25% in the past year, it has faced a 5.6% decline year-to-date. He also mentioned Evercore ISI's positive outlook, maintaining an Outperform rating with a $330 price target, emphasizing the potential of Apple's Services business.
Anthropic has announced that starting April 4, Claude Code subscribers will incur additional fees for using the coding assistant with OpenClaw and other third-party tools, moving away from the previous subscription model. This change, communicated via a customer email, reflects Anthropic's intention to manage growth sustainably, as the current subscription limits do not accommodate the usage patterns of these external tools. The decision follows criticism from OpenClaw's creator, Peter Steinberger, who recently joined OpenAI, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape for coding assistants.
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Wall Street remains optimistic despite geopolitical tensions.
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